Click to ENLARGE. Ice-outs this century. From an Excel spreadsheet I maintain. Wow. This is special. As I explain below Leap Years have significance. Makes this record SPECIAL.
I take LEAP YEARS into account. This year is a LEAP YEAR. So, March 17 this year, in terms of days since Jan. 1, is day # 76. If it had NOT been a Leap Year it would have been day #75. {Get that. Leap years make a difference}
Click to ENLARGE. EARLIEST Ice-Outs going back to 1887.
Wow. Wow. Wow.
This is amazing. Yes, warmest winter ever. This is crazy.
If this hadn’t been a Leap Year this would have been Day #75!
Click to ENLARGE. Ice-outs this century. From an Excel spreadsheet I maintain. 2016 record highlighted & as is the last time it was on the 96th day. Notice below ‘100’ the last 4 years.
I take LEAP YEARS into account. This year was NOT a LEAP YEAR. So, April 7 this year, in terms of days since Jan. 1, is day # 96. If it had been a Leap Year it would have been day #97. {Get that. Leap years make a difference}
One day earlier than last year. But, BOTH on Fridays. {Kind of neat.}
What is noteworthy is that the last 4 years have all been early April. Prior to that we had 3 months when it was later in April — & that was after the near record 2016
Not bad. Kind of middle of the road. Nothing to really get that excited about.
The ice-outs days really don’t tell us anything about Global Warming per se! Temperature is obviously the key factor — BUT winds play a HUGE role too. Once the temps get up past say 36F or 38F the winds start breaking & grinding up the ice. Just sharing that with you.
Click to ENLARGE. EARLIEST ice-outs going back to 1887. From an Excel spreadsheet I maintain.
Click to ENLARGE. Ice-outs this century. From an Excel spreadsheet I maintain. Earlier dates highlighted.
Click to ENLARGE. Ice-outs this century as a graph. Dotted red line shows this year, i.e., 97 days into the year, April 8 (if it is NOT a leap-year).
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I take LEAP YEARS into account. This year was NOT a LEAP YEAR. So, April 8 this year, in terms of days since Jan. 1, is day # 97. If it had been a Leap Year it would have been day #98.
Not bad. Kind of middle of the road. We have had some early ice-outs of late, 2016 the EARLIEST as of 1887 (when they started keeping records).
Last two years were also earlier, but just. I was expecting this year to be as early — i.e., one or two days earlier than what happened.
The ice-outs days really don’t tell us anything about Global Warming per se! Temperature is obviously the key factor — BUT winds play a HUGE role too. Once the temps get up past say 36F or 38F the winds start breaking & grinding up the ice. Just sharing that with you.
